Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.445562 0.488765 0.535041 0.588414 0.648424 0.713979 0.791235
2025-11-23 0.371816 0.431288 0.499499 0.584029 0.686665 0.808133 0.964086
2025-11-30 0.332131 0.399859 0.481201 0.587112 0.722863 0.893078 1.125935
2025-12-07 0.298744 0.370100 0.458916 0.579147 0.740080 0.951599 1.256656
2025-12-14 0.272682 0.345967 0.439956 0.571470 0.754207 1.004480 1.382810
2025-12-21 0.247006 0.319588 0.415008 0.552262 0.749087 1.028324 1.468045
2025-12-28 0.235340 0.310570 0.411981 0.562035 0.784355 1.111623 1.649866
2026-01-04 0.224416 0.301471 0.407727 0.569067 0.815426 1.190813 1.834185
2026-01-11 0.213780 0.291836 0.401710 0.572536 0.840748 1.262825 2.015038
2026-01-18 0.203911 0.282502 0.395248 0.574433 0.863219 1.331775 2.198752
2026-01-25 0.195932 0.275305 0.391270 0.579531 0.890781 1.411234 2.411025
2026-02-01 0.184471 0.262192 0.377440 0.567833 0.889315 1.440572 2.533612
2026-02-08 0.177758 0.255976 0.373953 0.572811 0.916913 1.524603 2.775650
2026-02-15 0.169425 0.246800 0.365269 0.568556 0.928117 1.580245 2.969709
2026-02-22 0.163400 0.240820 0.361184 0.571539 0.952122 1.661801 3.229695
2026-03-01 0.155632 0.231641 0.351345 0.563831 0.955790 1.704405 3.411521
2026-03-08 0.148526 0.223135 0.342087 0.556401 0.959167 1.746491 3.598427
2026-03-15 0.139794 0.211572 0.327129 0.537806 0.939690 1.740136 3.671082
2026-03-22 0.136894 0.209390 0.327749 0.547267 0.975214 1.851311 4.045412
2026-03-29 0.133687 0.206517 0.326993 0.554074 1.005983 1.955782 4.422387
2026-04-05 0.130080 0.202784 0.324516 0.557432 1.029966 2.048025 4.785039
2026-04-12 0.126437 0.198808 0.321379 0.559269 1.050873 2.135644 5.152279
2026-04-19 0.123492 0.195880 0.319922 0.564203 1.078690 2.242481 5.595831